Since 1966, the United States and Indonesia have developed a friendly and cooperative relationship based on a pagmatic appreciation of mutual interest. Although there are disturbing questions about future Indonesian internal stability, US interests are such that a continued American positive response to Indonesian security requirements, particularly in terms of military assistance, is desirable.
Topics: DTIC Archive, Weatherbee,Donald E, ARMY WAR COLL STRATEGIC STUDIES INST CARLISLE BARRACKS PA,...
Contents: Honorable Eugene V. McAuliffe US-USSR Competition and Evolving Balances of Power; The US-USSR Strategic Equation -- Strategic and major substrategic forces; The Third World and US-Soviet Relationships; The People's Republic of China and the US-Soviet Relationships; Economic Interdependence and the US-Soviet Relationships; and International Technology Transfers.
Topics: DTIC Archive, Stovall,Don O, NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIV WASHINGTON D C, *NATIONAL SECURITY,...
This author argues that it is not possible to extract the maximum politico-military benefit from the nation's expenditure on its military forces unless explicit consideration is given to the perceptual effects of their configuration, structure and modes of deployment. It is further argued that it is well within the scope of the relevant disciplines and methods to evaluate such perceptual effects in a manner sufficiently unambiguous to allow the resulting data to be introduced in the...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Luttwak, Edward N, ESSEX CORP ALEXANDRIA VA, *DECISION MAKING, *DEPARTMENT OF...
The report develops and demonstrates various means of using quantitative indicator technology in analyzing and predicting future international trends. Three generic types of indicators were created to enhance the analysts abilities to estimate future international interaction trends: international, internal, and economic. Issue content, intensity of participation, behavioral tone, and other types of indicators were used. Two innovative methodologies were devised to help the policy analyst:...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Spector, Bertram I, Brownell, Jr , James R, Hayes, Margaret Daly, Keynon, Gary A,...
The report presents operational definitions for selected international military commitment indicators. It also describes the empirical components of a procedure for measuring international commitments and identifies sources of commitment data and lists the national actors and targets for which commitment data are being collected.
Topics: DTIC Archive, Martin, Wayne R, UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES DEPT OF INTERNATIONAL...
The report reviews the 'Country Threat File Codebook' (Technical Report No. 20) which describes the variables and data used for monitoring the situational threat context of each nation. The 'International Military Commitment: A Conceptual Definition' (Technical Report No. 22) discusses the association between international threat situations and commitment linkages.
Topics: DTIC Archive, Hill, Gary A, UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES DEPT OF INTERNATIONAL...
A turbulent international system is likely to spawn, with increasing frequency, international crises. But the very causes of the system's turbulence render forecasting--which actors are most likely to be involved over what issues and under what circumstances--virtually an impossible task. There is, however, some theoretical justification to expect that while forecasting who, what, where and when may be extremely difficult to predict, it is possible to forecast the likelihood that a given...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Beal, Richard Smith, UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES DEPT OF...
An international crisis, however defined or conceptualized, generates serious stress with which decision makers must cope. Distinguished from other international phenomena by its high levels of threat and surprise, and relatively short decision time, a crisis is the perfect setting for mishap, miscalculation, accidental war, unanticipated consequences and disaster. (C. Hermann, 1972:13-14). All of the ingredients necessary for bridging the peace- war gap are embodied in a crisis. Crisis...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Beal, Richard S, UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES DEPT OF INTERNATIONAL...
This paper describes the development of a systematic and empirical procedure for keeping account of international activities which raise the likelihood that one nation will come to the defense of another. In particular the concern here is to provide a conceptual framework to help guide the development of an analytical technique for identifying, measuring, and monitoring international commitments, where the use of force is implied. The underlying assumption of this work is that while it is very...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Martin, Wayne R, UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES DEPT OF INTERNATIONAL...
The purpose of this report is to present the initial stages of developing a bibliography for African international relations. The programs used to construct and organize our bibliography are BIBLIO and BSCAN. The search code is a 70 character free format field which permits the user to code each bibliographic entry according to any scheme reflecting the research interests of the user. A list of the search codes is included.
Topics: DTIC Archive, McGowan, Patrick J, Shaw, Timothy M, Johnson, Thomas H, Flute, Robert, UNIVERSITY OF...
The Country Threat File is a concise computerized data file designed to monitor each nation's domestic and international situation. The purpose of monitoring is to provide significant contextual information on a state's recent events and policy focus, major problems and active threats, and ongoing changes that may lead to major policy shifts and other such considerations for the international system. This type of data file is very informative and time- saving for analysts. For at their terminal...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Glaser, Trysha T, UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES DEPT OF INTERNATIONAL...
Instructions for the identification and abstraction of event interactions; Instructions for the coding of event interactions; Sample code sheet.
Topics: DTIC Archive, McGowan, Patrick J, UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES DEPT OF...