Recent events and trends in world affairs have focused attention upon the issue of inter-state economic conflict and possible national security implications in the decade ahead. In this context, the Office of Naval Research (ONR) took the initiative within the Department of Defense (DOD) to sponsor a workshop which would bring together key individuals from Government, the academic community, and the private research sector for purposes of exploring and discussing the national security...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Minckler, Rex D., Rebh, Richard G., OFFICE OF NAVAL RESEARCH ARLINGTON VA, *NATIONAL...
Recent arms control negotiations have emphasized constraints on nuclear armaments and forces and, when they have dealt with conventional armaments, have tended to focus on quantitative limitations. With rapid advances in technology, increased ability to pay for modern weapons in areas such as the Middle East, and increased availability of modern weapons for export, several conventional arms competitions have taken on distinct qualitative dimensions as well as quantitative ones. The US Arms...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Gessert,Robert A, Cover,William W, Bieber,George R, McClary,Michael V, GENERAL...
This study is an investigation of the desirability and feasibility of placing qualitative constraints on conventional arms competitions by means of negotiated arms control agreements. Using an inductive and empirical approach, the study develops a conceptual structure for determining whether US arms control policy should pursue such constraints in particular situations. Past experience in arms control and the principal issues involved are surveyed with attention to qualitative aspects, and the...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Gessert,Robert A, Cover,William W, GENERAL RESEARCH CORP MCLEAN VA OPERATIONS...
Contents: Beyond the Open Door -- U.S. Policy and Access to Global Resources (Rept. no. HI-2148-DP); Averting Economic Warfare in Raw Materials -- U.S. Agriculture as a Blue Chip; Changing American Foreign Policy in the Middle East -- An Analysis (Rept. no. HI-2195/2-P); Iraq as a Soviet Proxy on the Persian Gulf in the Next Decade (Rept. no. HI-2168-P); and Energy in the Third World (Rept. no. HI-2094-P).
Topics: DTIC Archive, Arad, Uzi B, Smernoff, Barry J, HUDSON INST CROTON-ON-HUDSON NY, *INTERNATIONAL...
In this volume the primary intent is to uncover the objective functional relationship between import and export dependencies as they affect the reliability of supply in the past and the future. Until recently, under the aegis of American hegemony, and due to the role the oil multinationals played, both oil exporting and oil importing countries exhibited a sufficiently high degree of dependence on the trade in oil to bring about a symmetry in their reciprocal conditions. The manipulation of oil...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Arad, Uzi B, Smernoff, Barry J, HUDSON INST CROTON-ON-HUDSON NY, *INTERNATIONAL...
This report sets down the results of research on some of the significant problems relating to energy and national security. The emphasis taken by this study goes beyond the more obvious first-order issues, previously analyzed. It deals with less obvious but increasingly important problems, and including: (1) The relationship of the security of oil supplies to prevailing market conditions in the past and in the future; (2) The more general question of access to non-oil global resources and U.S....
Topics: DTIC Archive, Arad, Uzi B, Smernoff, Barry J, HUDSON INST CROTON-ON-HUDSON NY, *INTERNATIONAL...
See ADB025003 for abstract.
Topics: DTIC Archive, Pfaltzgraff, Jr , Robert L, Kemp, Geoffrey, INSTITUTE FOR FOREIGN POLICY ANALYSIS INC...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Pfaltzgraff, Jr , Robert L, Kemp, Geoffrey, INSTITUTE FOR FOREIGN POLICY ANALYSIS INC...
See ADB025003 for abstract.
Topics: DTIC Archive, Pfaltzgraff, Jr , Robert L, Kemp, Geoffrey, INSTITUTE FOR FOREIGN POLICY ANALYSIS INC...
The study is presented in two parts with two sets of appendices. Volume I, the focus of the study, concentrates on the potential sources of conflict in the South Atlantic region, the role of naval forces in the area, and the implications of present trends in the South Atlantic for U.S. policy. Volume II is a more detailed analysis of the South Atlantic's present and projected political and economic environment. It has been prepared as supportive companion to Volume I, providing background for...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Pfaltzgraff, Jr , Robert L, Kemp, Geoffrey, INSTITUTE FOR FOREIGN POLICY ANALYSIS INC...
The overall purpose of this Interim Technical Report is to provide the basis for the improvement of long-range environmental forecasting through the use of quantitative methods. This volume provides a step by step procedure that analysts can use to generate forecasts of the long-range environment. The document is based on and should be used in conjuction with CACI's A General Handbook for Long-Range Environmental Forecasting, Interim Technical Report No. 2 (February 1973).
Topics: DTIC Archive, Franco, G Robert, Leavitt, Michael R, CACI INC-FEDERAL ARLINGTON VA, *ECONOMETRICS,...
The overall purpose of this Interim Technical Report is to provide a basis for the improvements of long-range environmental forecasting through the use of quantitative methods. This volume provides the technical discussion of the model that was developed to forecast values of five central environmental descriptors for the European environment of the 1985-1995 period. The descriptor variables considered were international conflict, international alignment, national power base, internal...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Franco, G R, Weil, Herman M, Greenberg, Aaron, German, Larry, Hartwick, Douglas, CACI...
The overall purpose of this Interim Technical Report is to provide a basis for the improvement of long-range environmental forecasting through the use of quantitative methods. This voulme provides a summary of the technical work that is presented in the second volume of the Report. The document summarizes the methodology that was developed to forecast values of 5 central environmental descriptors for the European environment of the 1985-19995 period. The descriptors considered were:...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Franco, G R, Weil, Herman M, Greenberg, Aaron, German, Larry, Hartwick, Douglas, CACI...