The memorandum considers the flexible strategic response doctrine, adopted by the United States in 1974, displacing assured destruction as the rationale for nuclear strategy. Through this doctrine, deterrence of a Soviet attack was to be achieved by response with selective strikes commensurate to the provocations. The author states that this significant change in American policy was preceded by an impressive body of literature in scholarly journals, which criticized and proposed alternatives to...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Wilborn,Thomas L, ARMY WAR COLL STRATEGIC STUDIES INST CARLISLE BARRACKS PA,...
The memorandum discusses developments which have created the necessity to reevaluate the strategic importance of the South Atlantic. Soviet policy in Africa and Soviet capabilities in the South Atlantic may threaten long-range NATO and US interests in the area, but the results will have more immediate political than military importance. Several US policy options are considered. The conclusion is that the United States should not seek new, formal military alliances in the region; however,...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Roberts,Kenneth E, ARMY WAR COLL STRATEGIC STUDIES INST CARLISLE BARRACKS PA,...
The present paper examines Soviet-U.S. naval interaction and its influence on Soviet Naval development and is drawn from a larger study still in progress on the role of the interaction phenomenon in the area of strategy- foreign policy-military posture. The paper is set in a chronological framework of three distinct periods, selected more or less arbitrarily on the basis of broad changes in the political and strategic setting in which the postwar Soviet-U.S. relationship has evolved.
Topics: DTIC Archive, Wolfe, Thomas W., RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CA, *POLITICAL SCIENCE, *MILITARY STRATEGY,...
A new orientation to pre-crisis study is developed drawing upon concepts from international systems analysis, empirical research on international crises and insights from cybernetics about monitoring change in a system. Conceptions of threat are divided into threat as behavior and threat as perception. Threat as behavior is determined by monitoring international event/ interactions. Threat as perception is determined by the cognitive appraisals of international affairs analysts. Analyzing...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Beal, Richard S., UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES INTERNATIONAL...
See ADB025003 for abstract.
Topics: DTIC Archive, Pfaltzgraff, Jr , Robert L, Kemp, Geoffrey, INSTITUTE FOR FOREIGN POLICY ANALYSIS INC...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Pfaltzgraff, Jr , Robert L, Kemp, Geoffrey, INSTITUTE FOR FOREIGN POLICY ANALYSIS INC...
The report develops and demonstrates various means of using quantitative indicator technology in analyzing and predicting future international trends. Three generic types of indicators were created to enhance the analysts abilities to estimate future international interaction trends: international, internal, and economic. Issue content, intensity of participation, behavioral tone, and other types of indicators were used. Two innovative methodologies were devised to help the policy analyst:...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Spector, Bertram I, Brownell, Jr , James R, Hayes, Margaret Daly, Keynon, Gary A,...
;Contents: Japanese international behavior; Data collection and preparation; Issue indicators; Behavioral tone index; Dyadic intensity index; Power strategy indicators; Internal political indicators; Economic indicators; Event patterning for decision analysis; Power strategy impact analysis; Application of event patterning for decision analysis; Application of power strategy impact analysis; Internal prediction models of Japanese international behavior; Economic prediction models of Japanese...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Spector, Bertram I, Brownell, James R , Jr, Hayes, Margaret Daly, Keynon, Gary A,...
The report describes research efforts to develop and apply quantitative indicators to national security problems. The report consists of two volumes. Volume I, the Executive Summary, is a non-technical review of the research accomplishments with special emphasis on their potential, immediate applications within the defense and intelligence communities. Volume II, the Technical Report, summarizes the specific results of the fiscal 1975 research effort. Volume III contains appendices to the...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Spector, Bertram I, Brownell, Jr , James R, Hayes, Margaret D, Keynon, Gary A, Moore,...
The study examines the ways, and the effectiveness with which, the United States and the Soviet Union have employed their armed forces, short of actual violence, during the period 1946-1975. The study further explains the interconnections between demonstrative displays of military force and the success or failure of foreign policy in the postwar period. The study analyzed 300 incidents since 1945 in which either the United States or the USSR has utilized its armed forces, without significant...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Blechman, Barry M, Kaplan, Stephen S, BROOKINGS INSTITUTION WASHINGTON DC, *FOREIGN...
This paper is heavily dependent on four lengthy studies written by the author in 1974 during a tour of duty in Laos with Project 404, Defense Attache Office, Vientiane. The titles of the studies, which are reflected below, give an indication of the rather extensive coverage possible when the reports are considered together. They are: (1) NVA Participation in the War for North Laos: 1955-1973(U), (2) NVA Participation in the War for South Laos: 1962- 1973(U), (3) The Last Six Months of the...
Topics: DTIC Archive, McDonnell, Wayne M., ARMY COMMAND AND GENERAL STAFF COLL FORT LEAVENWORTH KS,...
This thesis investigates the utility of conventional military intervention by Western powers in achieving their short-term foreign policy aims. Through a survey of the literature of political-military coordination, case studies of contingency force interventions, and comparative analysis of the interventions, factors fundamental to successful contingency operations are developed.
Topics: DTIC Archive, Clark, Wesley K., ARMY COMMAND AND GENERAL STAFF COLL FORT LEAVENWORTH KS, *FOREIGN...
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A review of case studies on Egypt, Saudi Arabia and Iran in the post 9-11 world.
Topics: Terrorism, 9-11, Al Qaida, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Grogan, Bush, CENTCOM, U.S. Foreign Policy,...