This thesis describes long-range forecasting models that were developed for the Middle East, Latin America, and Africa to cope with the problem of projecting important economic, political, military, and social variables over a five to twenty year range. On the basis of imperfect data that is available for these regions, this study examines the innovations introduced to handle the unstable situations found in developing areas of the world. Limited to the Middle East region, this effort...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Alvarez,Everett , Jr, NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CALIF, *POLITICAL SCIENCE,...
THE OBJECTIVES OF THE RESEARCH WERE TO EXAMINE THE MANNER IN WHICH THE DEFENSE PROCUREMENT PROCESS HAS BEEN MODIFIED OVER A PERIOD OF TIME BY THE PROVISION OF UNIQUE POLICIES AND PROCEDURES TO ACCOMMODATE FMS procurements, to explore the evolution of the FMS program and to ascertain the procurement problems associated therewith, and to assess the implications of the evolving FMS program with respect to defense procurement policies and procedures. The inquiry was limited to FMS of major...
Topics: DTIC Archive, McChesney,Jack Lester, AIR FORCE INST OF TECH WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OHIO, *CONTRACT...
This research project is designed to examine the empirical evidence available to date concerning the reasons for the defeat of the Communist Army of Greece in 1949. This work is the result of this author's endeavor to understand and evaluate why the Communist Insurgency failed in Greece. This failure is specifically addressed herein to determine whether the Communist defeat was the result of military action or political turmoil within the Communist Party of Greece. In order to answer this...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Haase, Thomas A, ARMY COMMAND AND GENERAL STAFF COLL FORT LEAVENWORTH KS,...
This paper investigates the need for an Army liaison staff to Congress for strategic matters. The historical and descriptive approaches are used to evaluate pertinent documentary evidence. The Congressional process, as it pertains to military policy, is illustrated with two different models. In recent years Congress has displayed a strong desire to curb the powers of the President and to reassert Congressional prerogatives. However, in attempting to reassert control, Congress may be ignoring...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Patrick, Dennis M., ARMY COMMAND AND GENERAL STAFF COLL FORT LEAVENWORTH KS,...
This report endeavors to explore one ot those many elusive variables in the complicated confrontation environment of the Middle East. That variable includes consideration of the inherent strength and political influence of the Palestinian Resistance Movement, and why and how since the first al Fatah raid of 1965 Syria has proven to be, if not the most consistent, as least the most practically helpful of those Arab regimes who have at one time or another chosen to patronize the movement. In...
Topics: DTIC Archive, L'Heureux, Richard J, AIR FORCE INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OH,...
The thesis analyzes the impact of the October 1973 Middle East War on super-power Middle East policy. The analysis is conducted within the context of the overall Middle East crisis, both before and after the 1973 War. Consideration is given to the historical roles of the US and USSR in the Middle East to highlight the changes in those roles as a result of the War. New patterns of super-power involvement in the area are described and the potential effects of these patterns on future Middle East...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Rypka, Allan E, NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA, *MIDDLE EAST, *POLITICAL...
This paper is heavily dependent on four lengthy studies written by the author in 1974 during a tour of duty in Laos with Project 404, Defense Attache Office, Vientiane. The titles of the studies, which are reflected below, give an indication of the rather extensive coverage possible when the reports are considered together. They are: (1) NVA Participation in the War for North Laos: 1955-1973(U), (2) NVA Participation in the War for South Laos: 1962- 1973(U), (3) The Last Six Months of the...
Topics: DTIC Archive, McDonnell, Wayne M., ARMY COMMAND AND GENERAL STAFF COLL FORT LEAVENWORTH KS,...
This thesis addresses the problem of the concept of national will. Present concepts are held to be inadequate because they arbitrarily separate national will from the political decision-making process and because they are psychologically unsound. As a result the concepts are of limited value in understanding the way in which national will is expressed in the United States. An hypothesis: 'United States national will is the collective intent of the group empowered to decide policy on a given...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Begtrup, Robert O., ARMY COMMAND AND GENERAL STAFF COLL FORT LEAVENWORTH KS,...
This thesis identifies a force, inherent in the national security decision-making process, which contributed to the American involvement in Vietnam. Termed 'policy precedents,' this force may be outside the control of the unwary decision maker and can result in irrational international behavior on the part of the nation. Once a policy or program becomes totally enmeshed within the governmental organization it becomes such a firm commitment that deviation from within becomes virtually...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Walton, Joseph A, ARMY COMMAND AND GENERAL STAFF COLLEGE FORT LEAVENWORTH KS,...
The Punitive Expedition led by Brigadier General John J. Pershing in Mexico from March 1916 to February 1917 in pursuit of Francisco Villa is one of the more obscure campaigns conducted by the United States Army. The changing role of the United States in the world should encourage Americans to reexamine the history which this country shares with Mexico. It is the purpose of this study to identify and examine the significant aspects of the Punitive Expedition and to provide an interpretive guide...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Thompson, John C, ARMY COMMAND AND GENERAL STAFF COLLEGE FORT LEAVENWORTH KS, *ARMY...
The original purposes of this research were to determine peacekeeping operations' nature and characteristics and to review and evaluate the ABCA concept and US Army doctrine. During the literature review, doctrine was evaluated as inadequate resulting in a new purpose to enhance doctrinal development. The case study method, with a structural-functional approach incorporating comparative analysis, was employed to examine three UN operations: UNEF 1 (Egypt), Cyprus, UNEF 2. The UNEF 2 was judged...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Raymond, III, Charles W, ARMY COMMAND AND GENERAL STAFF COLLEGE FORT LEAVENWORTH KS,...
This study examines the escalation rates and intensity levels of US/ USSR post-WW II confrontations in relation to the number of strategic nuclear weapons available to these nations to determine if a relationship exists. That is, have strategic nuclear weapons effected the rate of escalation or peak level of intensity of the post-WW II US/USSR confrontations. The study concludes that, while the role of strategic nuclear weapons has been insignificant in effecting either the intensity level or...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Helms, II, Robert F, ARMY COMMAND AND GENERAL STAFF COLLEGE FORT LEAVENWORTH KS,...
This thesis investigates the utility of conventional military intervention by Western powers in achieving their short-term foreign policy aims. Through a survey of the literature of political-military coordination, case studies of contingency force interventions, and comparative analysis of the interventions, factors fundamental to successful contingency operations are developed.
Topics: DTIC Archive, Clark, Wesley K., ARMY COMMAND AND GENERAL STAFF COLL FORT LEAVENWORTH KS, *FOREIGN...
Thailand's Isthmus of Kra connects the Malay Peninsula with southern Thailand and Burma. Sixty miles in width at its narrowest point, the Kra Isthmus, over time, has been proposed as a site for the location of a canal connecting the South China Sea with the Indian Ocean. The impact that a completed Kra Canal would have on U.S. Naval policy in the Indian Ocean, in support of specific national interests, was analyzed with respect to the advantages and costs that would result from U.S....
Topics: DTIC Archive, Graham, Alan S., NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA, *FOREIGN POLICY, *UNITED...